WHERE IT STANDS – AT 9:14 A.M. ET:  It's a series of polls, and the only poll that counts will be taken a week from tomorrow.  The key to interpreting these polls is to hold off and match them against polls taken over next weekend.  Often, in the final week of a campaign, we see a shift that tells us that the final holdouts are making up their mind.  From The Politico: 

Republicans are on the precipice of taking control of the Senate for the first time in eight years, new NBC News/Marist polls released Sunday show, but the GOP has yet to lock up many of the key battleground races.

The surveys show the Republican candidate with slight, inside-the-margin advantages in three of the hardest-fought contests for Democratic-held seats: Arkansas, Colorado and Iowa. North Carolina is a dead heat.

Republicans’ brief scare in South Dakota appears to be over, with Mike Rounds now leading by double digits. But the party still faces danger in Kansas, where an independent candidate is in a virtual tie with the GOP incumbent.

NBC/Marist didn’t poll all of this year’s competitive Senate races. But with Montana, West Virginia and South Dakota in the GOP column, Republicans need to pick up just three seats in the following states: Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana and North Carolina.

Republicans have a cushion. Five of those states currently lean toward the GOP, poll averages show, while North Carolina is still a toss-up. They also are closing the gap in New Hampshire. But the party may need to pick up additional seats if it loses Georgia, Kansas (if the independent conferences with Democrats) or Kentucky.

COMMENT:  From what I've seen, that seems to be a sound analysis.  The fact is, the election can go either way.   Our side must pour it on this week.  No overconfidence, as President Dewey might have told us.

October 27, 2014